Industry News

Drivers of negative aluminium billet processing fees- When will the market reverse?

Views : 51
Update time : 2026-01-20 15:01:18
On January 5, 2026, the first trading day after the New Year's holiday, the SMM A00 aluminium price surged by RMB 850 per tonne in a single day, surpassing the largest single-day increase of any day in 2025. As a result, aluminium billet processing fees across regions rapidly pulled back, generally decreasing by RMB 0–160 yuan per tonne, but still remaining above the zero line. However, on the following day, January 6, 2026, the aluminium price soared another RMB 600 per tonne, initiating an extreme market trend that lasted nearly two weeks, aluminium billet processing fees fell below the zero line and entered negative territory.

Against the backdrop of aluminium billet production costs generally maintained at RMB 200–300 per tonne, why did "negative processing fees" occur? To understand this anomaly, it is necessary to analyse from the perspectives of both aluminium billet producers and traders.

First, from the perspective of aluminium billet producers, they can be categorised into two types:

One type consists of enterprises with their own aluminium capacity, capable of directly using self-produced liquid aluminium to cast aluminium billets; the other type needs to purchase aluminium externally as raw material, typically adopting a settlement model of "monthly average aluminium price + local liquid aluminium discount."

For the former, according to SMM calculations, the current national weighted full cost of aluminium is approximately RMB 16,000–16,500 yuan per tonne. Based on the post-holiday A00 aluminium price, the profit per ton is as high as RMB 7,000–8,500. Even after deducting RMB 200–300 per tonne processing cost, there is still substantial profit. Therefore, these enterprises have a strong incentive to lower processing fees to accelerate sales, quickly recover funds, and lock in profits.

Related News
Read More >>
South Africa’s coal exports rise on improved rail performance South Africa’s coal exports rise on improved rail performance
Jan .30.2026
South Africa’s coal exports rise on improved rail performance
Ukrainian industry to drive postwar recovery Ukrainian industry to drive postwar recovery
Jan .30.2026
Ukrainian industry to drive postwar recovery
Hindalco invests Rs 21,000 crore to expand aluminum production in Odisha Hindalco invests Rs 21,000 crore to expand aluminum production in Odisha
Jan .30.2026
Hindalco invests Rs 21,000 crore to expand aluminum production in Odisha
Taiwan’s Yusco largely raises stainless steel prices for Feb as raw material costs soar Taiwan’s Yusco largely raises stainless steel prices for Feb as raw material costs soar
Jan .30.2026
Taiwan’s Yusco largely raises stainless steel prices for Feb as raw material costs soar